close
close

topicnews · September 4, 2024

Trump and Kamala Harris practically neck and neck in Pennsylvania and Georgia

Trump and Kamala Harris practically neck and neck in Pennsylvania and Georgia

According to a poll released Wednesday, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are virtually tied in Pennsylvania and Georgia, the two states likely to decide the 2024 election.

According to a CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters, Trump and Harris each receive 47 percent support in Pennsylvania, while the vice president leads the 45th president 48 percent to 47 percent in Georgia.

With 35 votes at stake, a win in both states – which went to President Biden in 2020 – would likely give either candidate victory given the close race.

Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at the 1st Summit Arena at the Cambria County War Memorial in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, Friday, August 30, 2024. AP
President Biden hugs Vice President Kamala Harris during a campaign rally at the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 5 in Pittsburgh on September 2, 2024. AFP via Getty Images

Biden won the Keystone State four years ago by just 1.2% and secured the Peach State by a razor-thin 0.23%.

In the rest of the election campaign, Harris is ahead of Trump in Michigan (48% to 43%) and Wisconsin (50% to 44%) – a gap that is outside the poll’s margin of error in both states.

The Michigan poll found that 4 percent of likely voters would support independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who suspended his campaign last month and endorsed Trump but found it difficult to remove his name from the ballot in the Wolverine State.

In Arizona, Trump is well ahead of Harris, with 49 percent of likely voters supporting the Republican and 44 percent supporting the Democrat.

In Nevada, Harris is narrowly ahead of Trump, 48% to 47%.

The poll was conducted following last month’s Democratic National Convention, which many viewed as Harris’ first major opportunity to introduce herself to voters. The results suggest the vice president did not make enough of an impression to gain a clear lead over her rival in key states.

The debate between Harris and Trump, scheduled for September 10 in Philadelphia, is the next big chance for both candidates to pull ahead in the race.

In Pennsylvania and Georgia, Trump and Harris are virtually neck and neck. SSRS Research

The CNN/SSRS poll shows that, depending on the state, between 11 and 15 percent of likely voters said they were willing to change their minds about voting for their candidate.

According to a CNN analysis of advertising spending, Republican groups plan to spend more than $110 million on advertising in Pennsylvania and Georgia by the end of this year – more than in any other swing state.

The Trump team is optimistic about its chances in Pennsylvania and Georgia, campaign adviser Brian Hughes told the Washington Post.

“In Pennsylvania and Georgia, we are seeing average poll numbers that show President Trump narrowly ahead in both states. On the ground, we are feeling strong momentum building for the final stretch. With Republicans united behind President Trump and an ever-broadening coalition of Democrats and independents joining us, it is clear that we are poised to win these crucial swing states,” Hughes said.

The CNN/SSRS poll was conducted online and by telephone from August 23 to 29.

Sample sizes ranged from 676 likely voters in Arizona with a 4.7% margin of error; 615 in Georgia with a 4.7% margin of error; 694 in Michigan with a 4.9% margin of error; 613 in Nevada with a 4.9% margin of error, 777 in Pennsylvania with a 4.7% margin of error, and 967 in Wisconsin with a 4.4% margin of error.