National Hurricane Center tracks three storms in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico

The 2024 hurricane season has been fairly quiet so far, but the National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical disturbances with a low to moderate probability of occurring after Labor Day weekend.

The three tropical systems could form in the North Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, according to a tropical weather forecast from the National Hurricane Center. They are located near the following locations:

• Northwestern Gulf of Mexico, just off the coast of Texas

• Close to the Lesser Antilles and the Caribbean

• Eastern tropical Atlantic, over West Africa

None of the storms have a name, and the chance of them developing in the next seven days is less than 45 percent, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Will there be more hurricanes? After the break in the Atlantic hurricane season, are the tropics now moving again?

Storm tracker for the Atlantic

Storm brewing in the Gulf of Mexico

The storm off the Texas coast is expected to move inland on Tuesday, but has not yet developed into a tropical storm or hurricane.

According to the National Hurricane Center, the hurricane is expected to “meander near the coast over the next few days.” It will likely produce thunderstorms near the coast of Texas and Louisiana.

If it stays in the water, slow development is possible. However, regardless of its formation, heavy rain could cause flash flooding along the Louisiana coast and the upper Texas coast.

There is a 10% chance of it developing within 48 hours and a 10% chance of it developing within seven days.

Tropical wave off the Lesser Antilles, Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave several hundred miles away from the Lesser Antilles, an island arc in the Caribbean, is expected to move westward and reach the island group by Monday before crossing the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.

According to the National Hurricane Center, parts of the islands could be exposed to “gusty winds” and heavy rain on Monday.

The probability that the storm will develop in the next seven days is medium. A tropical depression could form later in the week as conditions become “more conducive to development” with the movement of the storm.s over the central and western Caribbean Sea.

There is a 10% chance of it developing within 48 hours and a 40% chance of it developing within seven days.

Eastern tropical Atlantic, over West Africa

According to the National Hurricane Center, the storm is expected to leave the African coast on Monday.

Conditions allow the storm to slowly develop over the course of the week as it creeps west or west-northwest across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

The chances of the storm developing are still low. The probability of it developing within 48 hours is almost 0% and the probability of it developing within seven days is 20%.

Meteorologists are tracking several tropical waves

The National Hurricane Center is also tracking three tropical waves:

• A tropical wave in Eastern Atlantic moved westward.

• A tropical wave in Central Atlantic moved westward. Isolated moderate convection was observed.

• A tropical wave in Western Caribbean and moved westward as it entered the Pacific. The tropical wave extends across southeastern Mexico, through El Salvador, and into the eastern Pacific. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are observed along the Pacific coast of Central America.

How active is the 2024 hurricane season?

In August, Hurricane Ernesto hit Bermuda, bringing life-threatening surf and current conditions along the east coast of the United States.

In July, we saw the first Category 5 hurricane when Hurricane Beryl caused “catastrophic damage” and claimed 20 lives as it struck several islands in the Caribbean. According to the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, Hurricane Beryl has claimed 25 lives since entering the United States and moving through Texas, Louisiana, and Vermont.

“Atmospheric and oceanic conditions have set the stage for a highly active hurricane season that could be one of the strongest on record,” NOAA’s website states.

There could be 17 to 24 named storms in the Atlantic in 2024. About eight to 13 of these could develop into hurricanes, while four to seven could become major hurricanes with wind speeds exceeding 110 mph (178 km/h).

There are usually about 14 named storms, seven of which have become hurricanes and three have become major hurricanes during the season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Storm Tracker: National Hurricane Center tracks 3 storms