2024 Fantasy Football Rankings: Breakouts from Proven NFL Model That Predicted Jahmyr Gibbs’ Great Season

Finding a handful of players who can significantly outperform their 2024 fantasy football ADP could help your 2024 fantasy football picks stand out this season. But taking risks with unproven players can also help you plug big holes in your 2024 fantasy football lineups when it matters most. Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers is one of the biggest talents coming out of the 2024 NFL Draft, but owners are understandably concerned about how his quarterback Daniel Jones looked after his injury. Nabers has an ADP of 62.90, but missing out on a sixth-round pick could be a devastating blow. With a reliable set of live-updated 2024 fantasy football rankings, you can figure out exactly when to target Nabers while also identifying other potential 2024 fantasy football hits. Before you develop your 2024 fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 fantasy football rankings and 2024 fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model correctly predicted that Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs would be worth significantly more than expected in his rookie season. The result: Gibbs ran for 945 yards and 10 touchdowns and caught 52 passes for 316 yards and a touchdown. Gibbs was taken in the middle of the fourth round on average, but finished the season as one of the top 10 running backs in the CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has proven itself to be effective in providing fantasy football picks. It identified AJ Brown as a surprise pick in 2020 and predicted Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous 2021 season. Additionally, it has predicted previous fantasy football surprise picks like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anyone who has bet on players like these has had a good run at their championship titles.

The model is developed by the same people who create the projections for all three major fantasy sites, and it beat the human experts last season when there was still a big difference in the rankings. The projections are updated multiple times a day, so you always get the best fantasy football tips.

Now SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of surprise candidates, breakouts and flops. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

The best fantasy football outliers of 2024

One of the 2024 fantasy football breakout players the model predicts is Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels. Regardless of whether or not the No. 2 overall pick was in serious quarterback competition with veteran Marcus Mariota, Daniels was named Washington’s starter last week and his skill set is incredibly enticing.

He completed 72.2% of his passes for 3,812 yards and 40 touchdowns, threw just four interceptions, and also ran for 1,134 yards and 10 touchdowns. He’s more dynamic as a runner than any other rookie quarterback in this class, and his likely importance to the Commanders’ running attack raises his minimum requirements significantly. Because of that, the model ranks him as a top-10 fantasy football quarterback for 2024, ahead of talented second-year options like CJ Stroud and Anthony Richardson.

Another breakout identified by SportsLine’s 2024 fantasy football rankings: Bears quarterback Caleb Williams. The 2022 Heisman Trophy winner from USC was the most promising quarterback prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft, but unlike most first-rounders, he has a pretty good starting position in Chicago. The Bears won five of their last eight games and only picked first because they owned Carolina’s draft rights after a blockbuster trade for the 2023 first-rounder.

After quickly selecting Williams with the No. 1 pick, general manager Ryan Poles went to work early last offseason to set his new franchise quarterback up for success. He added Keenan Allen, fellow first-round draftee Rome Odunze and running back D’Andre Swift to a roster that already included talented players like DJ Moore and Cole Kmet. Williams has already shown this preseason that he’s capable of extending plays and making high-quality throws, and the model projects him as a top-10 quarterback in his rookie year. See which other 2024 fantasy football stars you should pick here.

How to find proven fantasy football rankings for 2024

SportsLine is also extremely excited about a surprise running back you wouldn’t even think would be selected in the middle rounds of the 2024 fantasy football draft. This running back is listed as a surprise top-10 option ahead of superstars like Jonathan Taylor and Joe Mixon. You can see who it is and the 2024 fantasy football rankings for each player only at SportsLine.

So which fantasy football breakouts should you target for 2024? And which RB will surprise the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 fantasy football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that predicted Jahmyr Gibbs’ breakout season, and find out.