Optimal NFL Football Knockout, Survivor Pool Tips, Strategy, Advice for Week 1, 2024: Outrun This Home Favorite

Your Week 1 NFL survival strategy could benefit from betting against the right team. Atlanta could be the team to bet on in the Week 1 NFL Knockout Pool picks considering their poor results in recent opening games. The Falcons have lost five of their last six Week 1 games, with the lone win coming last year against a Panthers team that finished with the worst record in the league. The Falcons will host the Steelers in Week 1 and both teams will be bringing in new quarterbacks. The fact that Pittsburgh has won three of its last four Week 1 games is just extra ammunition to bet the Falcons in the Week 1 NFL survival pool picks. While Atlanta is a team to target, is it the best team to bet on in the opening week? Before you finalize your Week 1 NFL survival picks, check out which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model has all bets on right now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 in top-rated NFL picks for $100 players since its launch. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run in top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It’s also on a 35-21 run in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 2022.

The model has been in the top 10 in pure NFL picks on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years and has beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em four times during that time. Anyone who has been following it ranks way up there.

Now it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 Survivor Pool pick. You can see who the model is backing this week only at SportsLine.

Top predictions for the NFL Survivor Pool in Week 1

In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model avoids the Miami Dolphins, even though they are coming off an 11-6 season and are favored against a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. The Jags played Jacksonville on the road last year, 6-3, and that includes a Week 1 road win in Indianapolis. Despite missing the playoffs, Jacksonville still had a positive record (9-8) and showed strengths in key areas. A hobbled Trevor Lawrence still led the team to a top-10 passing offense, Travie Etienne had nearly 1,500 scrimmage yards, and only seven teams forced more turnovers than Jacksonville’s defense.

The last of those stats might be the most problematic for Miami, whose offense waned in the home stretch. After averaging 31.5 points in their first 14 games, that number halved to 15.5 points in the Dolphins’ final four games, three of which were losses. Tua Tagovailoa was one of the reasons for the decline, and his 19 turnovers last season were the fifth-most in the NFL. Considering Lawrence has a 2-0 overall record against Tagovailoa, both in college and the NFL, it’s best to save Miami for another week in your NFL survival picks. See which team to pick here.

How to Make Your NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 1

Instead, the model is betting on a surprising home team that wins handily in nearly 80% of simulations. Now is the time to bet on this team, and you can only watch the game at SportsLine.

Which surprise team is a must-have in your Week 1 survival pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team will lead you to victory in Week 1, all based on the advanced computer model that has consistently beaten the NFL and gained well over $7,000 since its inception.