Jaguars vs. Bills odds, prediction: Complete “MNF” player prop picks

It doesn’t get better than two games at prime time on Monday evening.

The action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN with the 2-0 Bills hosting the winless Jaguars in the AFC clash.

After taking a deep dive into the first matchup of the night, we’ve put together our top picks for the Jaguars vs. Bills game in Buffalo on Monday night.

Best Bets: Player Props for Jaguars vs. Bills

Josh Allen anytime touchdown (-135 at DraftKings)

Allen is coming off a rare game in which he failed to run across the goal line and score a touchdown.

He failed to score a rushing touchdown in just five of the 19 games last season (including the playoffs).

In addition, there was only one case during that time where he failed to score a touchdown in two consecutive games.

In Buffalo’s 31-10 win over Miami in Week 2, Allen only ran the ball twice. His line did an excellent job of defending, allowing the Dolphins to not record a single sack on his 19 dropbacks.

While Allen is a quarterback who has never shied away from physical contact, it certainly helps when he’s not so banged up before a game. After participating in all of last week’s practice, he’ll be fully healthy heading into Monday’s game.

Buffalo ranks fifth with four red zone scoring opportunities per game, and considering the Bills have the third-highest run play ratio this season at 57.28%, their quarterback has a good chance of getting on the scoresheet.

Curtis Samuel under 16.5 receiving yards (-110 at BetMGM)

After starting 13 games with the Commanders last year and playing 56% of the offensive plays, Curtis Samuel may have to settle for fewer opportunities with the Bills this season.

The eight-year veteran is ranked behind Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins and has played just 27% of Buffalo’s offensive games.

Given the Bills’ renewed commitment to running the ball, his options are drying up.

Buffalo has been incredibly efficient on first downs, having the second-highest success rate in the league at 52.2%.

This allows Buffalo to stay one step ahead of the chains and control the game better.

Betting on the NFL?

Unless one of the Bills’ starting receivers gets injured, it’s hard to imagine Samuel getting the opportunity to play more often.

He has stayed under 16.5 receiving yards in four of his last five games, and given his role in the Bills offense, I expect that trend to continue in Week 3.

Why you can bet on the New York Post

Michael Arinze handicaps most major sports for the New York Post. In his betting career, he has won two 15-leg teasers and a 12-leg parlay that covered eight games of the Little League World Series. More recently, he has accurately picked the finalists for the 2024 Euros and the Copa America.