close
close

topicnews · September 17, 2024

New poll shows that this political event influenced only a fraction of Harris-Trump supporters

New poll shows that this political event influenced only a fraction of Harris-Trump supporters

Only a handful of voters said last week’s presidential debate caused them to reconsider their support for Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump, a new nationwide poll shows.

Numerous political pundits and media analysts said Harris defeated Trump in the debate – their first and possibly only face-to-face meeting before Election Day on November 5.

However, only 3 percent of debate viewers said the confrontation in Philadelphia caused them to reconsider their support for the president, according to a national Monmouth University poll released Tuesday.

NEW SURVEY SHOWS WHICH CANDIDATE IS LEADING IN THE MOST IMPORTANT BATTLEFIELD

Trump and Harris on the debate stage in Philadelphia

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump speak during their presidential debate in Philadelphia, Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024.

Just over seven in ten respondents said the debate between the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates did not raise any doubts about the candidate they already supported in the race for the White House. Eight percent of respondents said that while some doubts arose, the debate did not change their support. In addition, 17 percent said they did not watch or listen to any part of the debate.

WHAT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS SHOW IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

READ ON THE FOX NEWS APP

“The extent to which this election is changing can currently be measured in inches rather than yards,” said Patrick Murray, director of Monmouth University’s polling institute.

“We’re basically at the point where the turnout of 10,000 additional voters in a key swing state could determine the outcome. Polls show us the broad outlines of the race, but they can’t measure these kinds of micro-shifts,” Murray stressed.

Trump declared in social media posts and in several interviews with Fox News Channel following the debate that he had won the showdown with Harris.

“That was my best debate EVER,” he wrote in a social media post.

In an interview with “Fox and Friends” he claimed: “We had a great night, we won the debate.”

However, in her first rally after the debate last week, Harris accused Trump’s performance of being “the same old show, the same tired script that we’ve heard for years … with no plans for how he’s going to address the needs of the American people because, you know, it’s all about him, not you.”

According to the Monmouth poll, 49 percent of registered voters nationwide said they would either definitely (39 percent) or probably (10 percent) vote for Harris. On another question, just over four in 10 said they would definitely (34 percent) or probably (10 percent) vote for Trump.

Nearly all national polls conducted after last week’s debate suggest Harris has a low- to mid-range digital lead over Trump in the race to succeed President Biden in the White House.

Nevertheless, it remains a race with a large margin of error in the seven crucial swing states that will likely determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.

Murray pointed to those respondents who said they were extremely motivated to vote, emphasizing that “Trump is doing better with motivated voters right now than with the overall electorate. That includes a whole bunch of voters who may not have turned out in the 2020 election. Maybe they were exhausted by the Trump era when they stayed home four years ago, but that feeling has faded, and now they’re more likely to be upset with the Biden presidency.”

“To counteract this, Democrats will try to incite voters who already have concerns about Trump but are not fully committed to the election,” he added.

The Monmouth University poll was conducted from September 11 to 15. It surveyed 803 registered voters across the country. The overall sampling error of the poll is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

Get the latest updates on the 2024 election, exclusive interviews and more in our digital election hub, Fox News.

Source of the original article: New poll shows that this political event influenced only a fraction of Harris-Trump supporters